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Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center

Professional Observation

       

Basic Information

Observation Details

Observation Date:
January 14, 2023 - January 14, 2023
Submitted:
January 14, 2023
Observer:
Clancy Nelson | ESAC Forecaster
Zone or Region:
Mammoth Lakes
Location:
Mammoth Area - Reconsidering "Safe" Terrain

Signs of Unstable Snow

Recent Avalanches? 
Yes
Cracking? 
Widespread
Collapsing? 
Isolated

Snow Stability

Stability Rating: 
Poor
Confidence in Rating: 
High
Stability Trend: 
Worsening

Key Points

This morning, while discussing wind slab avalanches in the forecast, I wrote: “Avalanches may break across start zones. Reconsider terrain adjacent to steep slopes that you may typically think of as ‘safe’.” Today I spend a few hours testing storm instabilities on Panorama Dome. I used small test slopes I’ve used many times. I mostly found what I expected, until I didn’t.

  • I triggered small, sluffs and soft storm and wind slabs near and below treeline on southeast, east, and northeast aspects. These were typically 8 inches thick and failing on a melt-freeze crust buried yesterday. On my last test slope, I triggered an 8 inch deep wind slab that stepped down 3.5 feet to a deeper wind deposit. The resulting avalanche was 200 feet wide, ran 75 feet into the trees, and left me feeling very anxious.
  • We got many shooting cracks and one big collapse on adjacent test slopes. The cracks were breaking at the new/old snow interface. The collapse was the result of the melt-freeze crust breaking under a 2-foot thick wind slab. We confirmed that layer in a snow pit where we got propagation in fist hard decomposing-fragmented grains above and below the crust. The crust exists under the new storm snow in all exposed terrain. We did not find it in sheltered terrain below treeline. There we found dense, 4 finger hard snow under the new.
  • We trudged through intense snowfall – rates over 2 inches per hour – and moderate to intense blowing snow.

Reconsider terrain you may typically think of as “safe,” because sensitive wind slabs can bread across start zones and be very large. Have a safe holiday weekend.

Media

Surprisingly large triggered wind slab avalanche near treeline
Typical test slope results on Panorama Dome today. D1
8 inch thick soft slab intentionally triggered on a test slope near treeline
3 inch thick sluffs intentionally triggered on a test slope below treeline
20230113 MFcr
Shooting cracks - Mammoth Area

Advanced Information

Weather Summary

Cloud Cover:
Obscured
Temperature:
18 degrees F
Wind:
Moderate , SW

On the drive back down the hill, the rain/snow line was 5100 feet. It was whiteout conditions and 4wd driving on 395 to just past Tom’s Place.

Avalanche Observations

 #  Date Location Size Type Bed Sfc Depth Trigger Comments Photo
3 Today Panorama Dome
E 8500-8800 ft
D1 SS I-New/Old Interface 8 inches AS-Skier
c-Intentional
None
2 Today Panorama Dome
NW 8500 ft
D1 L S-New Snow 3 inches AS-Skier
c-Intentional
None
1 Today Panorama Dome
NE 8800 ft
D2 HS O-Old Snow 3.5 ft AS-Skier
c-Intentional
8 inch soft wind slab stepped down to very large, recent wind deposit. Broke deeper and wider than expected. I suspect it failed on the 0113 MFcr. None
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