Loose Wet – Low temperatures overnight struggled to fall below 32 degrees for any length of time. Todays forecast is calling for sunny skies with high temperatures climbing into the upper 40’s and 50’s below 10,000’, while above 10,000’, temps are forecasted to bump up against the upper 40’s. Light to moderate Southwesterly winds above treeline are forecasted, which will likely delay thawing somewhat in the upper elevations due to air mixing and convective cooling. From treeline (~10,500’) and below, winds will be very light, limiting convective cooling, so expect the snow to thaw more rapidly as the temperatures climb quickly due to minimal mixing. Solar aspects will warm the quickest, with northerly and shaded aspects following. Terrain can accentuate the problem, such as cirques and bowls, and rocky gullies can amplify and retain more heat than open slopes. Loose Wet avalanches often originate from cliffs or trees. The northerly and shaded slopes above ~9000’ are seeing strong warming at the surface but remain below freezing deeper in the snowpack. As a result, Loose Wet releases on northerly aspects are less likely to erode deeply into the snowpack and will generally be more limited in size. If you’re having trouble making turns because the snow is too deep or boot penetration becomes excessive, this is a strong sign that the surface snow is saturated and it’s time to move onto slopes with firmer snow, shady slopes, or lower angles.